• Empirical errors and predicted errors in fertility, mortality and migration forecasts in the European economic area 

      Keilman, Nico; Pham, Dinh Quang (Discussion Papers;No. 386, Working paper, 2004)
      Abstract: We analyse empirical errors observed in historical population forecasts produced by statistical agencies in 14 European countries since 1950. The focus is on forecasts for three demographic variables: fertility ...
    • Hvor lenge kommer vi til å leve? : Levealder og aldersmønster for dødeligheten i Norge, 1900–2060 

      Keilman, Nico; Pham, Dinh Quang (Journal article, 2005)
      Vi lever stadig lenger. Her presenteres en analyse av levealderen og aldersmønsteret i dødeligheten for norske menn og kvinner siden 1900. Vi har brukt den såkalte Lee-Cartermodellen for å kunne gi anslag på dødelighet ...
    • Mortality shifts and mortality compression. The case of Norway, 1900-2060 

      Keilman, Nico; Pham, Dinh Quang; Syse, Astri (Discussion Papers;No. 884, Working paper, 2018-09-13)
      The aim of the paper is to verify whether the projections predict a continuation of the ongoing compression in mortality and of the steady upward shift in the ages at which people die. Historically, official Norwegian ...
    • Norway's Uncertain Demographic Future 

      Keilman, Nico; Pham, Dinh Quang; Hetland, Arve (Sosiale og økonomiske studier;105, Book, 2001)
      The demographic future of any population is uncertain, but some of the many possible trajectories are more probable than others. Therefore, an exploration of the demographic future should include two elements: a range ...
    • Structural break in the Norwegian LFS due to the 2021 redesign 

      Hungnes, Håvard; Skjerpen, Terje; Hamre, Jørn Ivar; Jansen, Xiaoming Chen; Pham, Dinh Quang; Sandvik, Ole (Discussion Paper;No. 987, Working paper, 2022-08)
      The labour force surveys (LFSs) on all Eurostat countries underwent a substantial redesign in January 2021. To ensure coherent labour market time series for the main indicators in the Norwegian LFS, we model the impact ...
    • Variansestimering for sesongjusterte tall med X-12-ARIMA 

      Pham, Dinh Quang (Notater / Documents;2017/44, Working paper, 2017-12-14)
      X-12-ARIMA har vært brukt i Statistisk sentralbyrå i mange år som et verktøy for sesongjustering. Det er en ikke parametrisk metode, der trend- og sesongkomponent blir estimert ved glidende gjennomsnittsteknikk, ikke ...